Oscars 2013 - Who Deserves To Win, Who Will Actually Win

Tears, diva fits, and more glittery satin than is safe to be held in a contained space. But enough about our backstage office at the NME Awards next week; there’s another awards do on the horizon. Yup, Sunday sees Hollywood’s finest turn out for the Academy Awards. This year there’s no King’s Speech as such, where one film seems anointed to win pretty much everything, leaving us with something like open season. Here’s our picks for who we reckon’s going to win, and who we’d really like to.


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[subhead]Best Picture[/subhead]
[bulletpoints]
[li]Amour[/li]
[li]Argo[/li]
[li]Beasts Of The Southern Wild[/li]
[li]Django Unchained[/li]
[li]Les Miserables[/li]
[li]Lincoln[/li]
[li]Life Of Pi[/li]
[li]Silver Linings Playbook[/li]
[li]Zero Dark Thirty[/li]
[/bulletpoints]

[highlight]Deserves to win:[/highlight] Les Miserables
[highlight]Prediction:[/highlight] Zero Dark Thirty
[highlight]Bookies' favourite:[/highlight] Argo
Tom Hooper’s Les Miserables is one long, daft and lavish music video, so of course we love it. And justice seems to demand that the gaudy, obvious choice is going to walk away with it. But you suspect that Hooper’s already had his year with The King’s Speech. Lincoln will no doubt triumph everywhere else; Katherine Bigelow’s Bin Laden drama feels Oscar-worthy in the worthy sense.


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[subhead]Best Actress[/subhead]
[bulletpoints]
[li]Jessica Chastain - Zero Dark Thirty[/li]
[li]Jennifer Lawrence - Silver Linings Playbook[/li]
[li]Emmanuelle Riva - Amour[/li]
[li]Quvenzhane Wallis - Beasts Of The Southern Wild[/li]
[li]Naomi Watts - The Impossible[/li]
[/bulletpoints]

[highlight]Deserves to win:[/highlight] Jessica Chastain
[highlight]Prediction:[/highlight] Jennifer Lawrence
[highlight]Bookies' favourite:[/highlight] Jennifer Lawrence
Lawrence is a lovely and magnetic presence in the otherwise-daft bipolar romcom Silver Linings Playbook. But the people who run these kinds of awards dos seem completely enamoured with it. I preferred her in The Hunger Games to be perfectly honest.



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[subhead]Best Actor[/subhead]
[bulletpoints]
[li]Daniel Day Lewis - Lincoln[/li]
[li]Bradley Cooper - Silver Linings Playbook[/li]
[li]Hugh Jackman - Les Miserables[/li]
[li]Joaquin Phoenix - The Master[/li]
[li]Denzel Washington - Flight[/li]
[/bulletpoints]

[highlight]Deserves to win:[/highlight] Joaquin Phoenix
[highlight]Prediction:[/highlight] Daniel Day Lewis
[highlight]Bookies' favourite:[/highlight] Daniel Day Lewis
It’s Lincoln’s year alright. And Daniel Day Lewis hasn’t been as garlanded from all angles for a role since his turn in My Left Foot. He underplays it with just enough steel to be convincing both as a figure from history and an actual human being.


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[subhead]Best Director[/subhead]
[bulletpoints]
[li]Michael Haneke - Amour[/li]
[li]Ang Lee - Life Of Pi[/li]
[li]David O Russell - Silver Linings Playbook[/li]
[li]Steven Spielberg - Lincoln[/li]
[li]Benh Zeitlin - Beasts Of The Southern Wild[/li]
[/bulletpoints]

[highlight]Deserves to win:[/highlight] Ang Lee
[highlight]Prediction:[/highlight] Spielberg
[highlight]Bookies' favourite: [/highlight] Steven Spielberg
Spielberg’s had it twice before, for Schindler’s List and Saving Private Ryan, both movies in his worthy and historical subset. Everyone is quite defensibly losing their shit over Lincoln, and so you can see little reason why they won’t pretend that War Horse never happened and give it to him again. Yet as the real star of Life Of Pi (notice it hasn’t picked up any performance nominations) it’d be nice to see another gong for Mr Lee.


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[subhead]Best Supporting Actor[/subhead]
[bulletpoints]
[li]Alan Arkin - Argo[/li]
[li]Robert De Niro - Silver Linings Playbook[/li]
[li]Tommy Lee Jones - Lincoln[/li]
[li]Christoph Waltz - Django Unchained[/li]
[li]Philip Seymour Hoffman - The Master[/li]
[/bulletpoints]

[highlight]Deserves to win:[/highlight] Christoph Waltz
[highlight]Prediction:[/highlight] Alan Arkin
[highlight]Bookies' favourite: [/highlight] Tommy Lee Jones
After the turn of events at the BAFTAs when Argo walked away with the entire farm, I wouldn’t predict them to go quite that far at the biggies, but it’s likely going to have to win something. I’d like to Tarantino’s return to form recognised somewhere, and Waltz’s turn as Dr King Schultz is extraordinary, so incredibly warm and eccentric for a cold-blooded hitman.


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[subhead]Best Supporting Actress[/subhead]
[bulletpoints]
[li]Amy Adams - The Master[/li]
[li]Sally Field - Lincoln[/li]
[li]Anne Hathaway - Les Miserables[/li]
[li]Helen Hunt - The Sessions[/li]
[li]Jacki Weaver - Silver Linings Playbook[/li]
[/bulletpoints]

[highlight]Deserves to win:[/highlight] Anne Hathaway
[highlight]Prediction:[/highlight] Anne Hathaway
[highlight]Bookies' favourite:[/highlight] Anne Hathaway
A complete no-brainer, this one: girl turns up covered in blood and snot, girl sings ‘I Dreamed A Dream’ covered in blood and snot, girl walks away with entire movie inside less than 20 minutes. SKILLS.


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