Algorithm predicts who will die in ‘Game Of Thrones’ season 8

The most likely survivor is quite surprising

A new study has used an algorithm to attempt to predict who will die (as well as those most likely to survive and conquer) in Game Of Thrones season 8.

The hit HBO show will conclude with its final season, due to air in 2019.

Data scientists DataRobot are behind the findings, and they write in a blog: “One of the most unique aspects of the series is its fearless approach to eliminating major characters… Naturally, the task of actually predicting who will die in the series is extremely complex and requires more than just descriptive information.”


Using machine learning, the study looked at several characters, determining their chances of dying by considering their gender, age, house allegiance, culture and whether or not they have dead relatives.

The Lannister siblings, Jaime, Tyrion, and Cersei, are all deemed as among the most likely to die, as do Bran Stark, Jon Snow, Euron Greyjoy and Sansa Stark.

Daenerys, however, is deemed as the most likely to die overall, while Gendry (King Robert’s illegitimate son) is seen as the least likely. Arya Stark is also deemed as more likely to survive than die.

“Gendry seems to have the best shot at surviving in the end, potentially enabling him to rule the kingdom,” the study says.

Joe Dempsie (aka Gendry) from ‘Game Of Thrones’


However, the study also concludes: “While it’s a fun exercise to use book details to predict future plot points in the show, it’s ultimately going to be the showrunners who decide the fate of Westeros and all those who are involved. After all, I’m not even sure a machine learning algorithm could have predicted the amount of emotional distress this show has caused, and will continue to cause, as we all wait for the Long Night to come to an end.”